凯投宏观下调2019年布伦特油价预期铁链条

中国石化新闻网讯 据道琼斯12月12日消息，凯投宏观对于油价前景的悲观看法略有加重，理由是全球经济增速放缓叠加美国页岩油产量持续攀升。该机构目前预计2019年底布伦特油价在每桶55美元，之前的预期为60美元。凯投宏观称，支持其最新预期的是，该机构预测多个石油消费大国2019年的石油需求增速将放缓。该机构称，中国经济已然表现出放缓的明确迹象，并且预计明年下半年美国经济增速将显著回落。不过仍有一些难以预料的因素，例如美国总统特朗普可能停止向部分国家就伊朗制裁延长豁免权。

唐绍红 摘译自 道琼斯

原文如下：

Oil Prices Seen Weakening in 2019

Capital 固定电感Economics is a tad more bearish about the outlook for oil prices, citing a combination of slower global GDP growth and persistent rises in US shale output. It now sees Brent crude at US$55/bbl at the end of 2019, down from a prior projection of US$60/bbl. "Underpinning this forecast is our expectation that we will see lower growth in oil demand in 2019 in a number of major consumers," Capital Economics says. "China's economy is already showing clear signs of a slowdown and we expect a sharp drop in US economic growth in t控制台he second half of next year." Still, there are some wildcards such as President Trump not renewing waivers on Iranian sanctions.